Complexity does not appear without any reason. There are signs and forces, such as division of states (bifurcation) that can indicate and explain how complexity created.
The goal of this series of posts is to explain in plain business English (well, in my English :-)) how complexity arises from very stable and order organizations. I hope that this series will help you to understand this phenomenon and to be able to better deal with it. Each one of these posts explains one driving force to complexity as defines by chaos theory.
Division of States – Bifurcation
A simple system will start with one type of state. Over time one state will be split into two distinct states. Those two will double into four, eight, sixteen, and so on a basin of repetitive behavior. In some number of splitting (usually 32), the system will start to behave in a non-repetitive way and enter into unexpected and complex ways.
The relationship between any two processes in an organization can initiate this division process as well. For example, the interaction between the process that brings cash into a company and the process of spending money on expenses can kick off a chain-reaction splitting of sates.